The number $21!=51,090,942,171,709,440,000$ has over $60,000$ positive integer divisors. One of them is chosen at random. What is the probability that it is odd? $\textbf{(A)} \frac{1}{21} \qquad \textbf{(B)} \frac{1}{19} \qquad \textbf{(C)} \frac{1}{18} \qquad \textbf{(D)} \frac{1}{2} \qquad \textbf{(E)} \frac{11}{21}$

Let $ n$ be a positive integer congruent to $1$ modulo $4$. Xantippa has a bag of $n + 1$ balls numbered from $ 0$ to $n$. She draws a ball (randomly, equally distributed) from the bag and reads its number: $k$, say. She keeps the ball and then picks up another $k$ balls from the bag (randomly, equally distributed, without repossession). Finally, she adds up the numbers of all the $k + 1$ balls she picked up. What is the probability that the sum will be odd?

A point $ P$ is randomly selected from the rectangular region with vertices $ (0, 0)$, $ (2, 0)$, $ (2, 1)$, $ (0, 1)$. What is the probability that $ P$ is closer to the origin than it is to the point $ (3, 1)$? $ \textbf{(A)}\ \frac{1}{2} \qquad \textbf{(B)}\ \frac{2}{3} \qquad \textbf{(C)}\ \frac{3}{4} \qquad \textbf{(D)}\ \frac{4}{5} \qquad \textbf{(E)}\ 1$

Suppose that $X$ is a compact metric space and $T: X\rightarrow X$ is a continous function. Prove that $T$ has a returning point. It means there is a strictly increasing sequence $n_i$ such that $\lim_{k\rightarrow \infty} T^{n_k}(x_0)=x_0$ for some $x_0$.

Let $X$ be normally distributed with mean $\mu$ and variance $\sigma^2>0$. What is the variance of $e^X$?

The Matini company released a special album with the flags of the $ 12$ countries that compete in the CONCACAM Mathematics Cup. Each postcard envelope has two flags chosen randomly. Determine the minimum number of envelopes that need to be opened to that the probability of having a repeated flag is $50\%$.

The four faces of a tetrahedral die are labelled $0, 1, 2,$ and $3,$ and the die has the property that, when it is rolled, the die promptly vanishes, and a number of copies of itself appear equal to the number on the face the die landed on. For example, if it lands on the face labelled $0,$ it disappears. If it lands on the face labelled $1,$ nothing happens. If it lands on the face labelled $2$ or $3,$ there will then be $2$ or $3$ copies of the die, respectively (including the original). Suppose the die and all its copies are continually rolled, and let $p$ be the probability that they will all eventually disappear. Find $\left\lfloor \frac{10}{p} \right\rfloor$.

Six children stand in a line outside their classroom. When they enter the classroom, they sit in a circle in random order. There are relatively prime positive integers $m$ and $n$ so that $\tfrac{m}{n}$ is the probability that no two children who stood next to each other in the line end up sitting next to each other in the circle. Find $m + n$.

A father, a mother and son hold a family tournament, playing a two person board game with no ties. The tournament rules are: (i) The weakest player chooses the first two contestants. (ii) The winner of any game plays the next game against the person left out. (iii) The first person to win two games wins the tournament. The father is the weakest player, the son the strongest, and it is assumed that any player's probability of winning an individual game from another player does not change during the tournament. Prove that the father's optimal strategy for winning the tournament is to play the first game with his wife.

Charles is playing a variant of Sudoku. To each lattice point $(x, y)$ where $1\le x,y <100$, he assigns an integer between $1$ and $100$ inclusive. These integers satisfy the property that in any row where $y=k$, the $99$ values are distinct and never equal to $k$; similarly for any column where $x=k$. Now, Charles randomly selects one of his lattice points with probability proportional to the integer value he assigned to it. Compute the expected value of $x+y$ for the chosen point $(x, y)$.

Show that reducing the dimensions of a cuboid we can't get another cuboid with half the volume and half the surface.

In a certain family, a husband and wife made the following agreement: If the wife washes the dishes one day, the husband washes the dishes the next day. However, if the husband washes the dishes one day, then who washes the dishes the next day is decided by drawing a coin. Let $ p_n $ denote the probability of the event that the husband washes the dishes on the $ n $-th day of the contract. Prove that there is a limit $ \lim_{n\to \infty} p_n $ and calculate it. We assume $ p_1 = \frac{1}{2} $.

A pair of standard 6-sided fair dice is rolled once. The sum of the numbers rolled determines the diameter of a circle. What is the probability that the numerical value of the area of the circle is less than the numerical value of the circle's circumference? $\textbf{(A)}\,\frac{1}{36} \qquad\textbf{(B)}\,\frac{1}{12} \qquad\textbf{(C)}\,\frac{1}{6} \qquad\textbf{(D)}\,\frac{1}{4} \qquad\textbf{(E)}\,\frac{5}{18}$

In the game of Guess the Card, two players each have a $\frac{1}{2}$ chance of winning and there is exactly one winner. Sixteen competitors stand in a circle, numbered $1,2,\dots,16$ clockwise. They participate in an $4$-round single-elimination tournament of Guess the Card. Each round, the referee randomly chooses one of the remaining players, and the players pair off going clockwise, starting from the chosen one; each pair then plays Guess the Card and the losers leave the circle. If the probability that players $1$ and $9$ face each other in the last round is $\frac{m}{n}$ where $m,n$ are positive integers, find $100m+n$. [i]Proposed by Evan Chen[/i]

Three persons $A,B,C$, are playing the following game: A $k$-element subset of the set $\{1, . . . , 1986\}$ is randomly chosen, with an equal probability of each choice, where $k$ is a fixed positive integer less than or equal to $1986$. The winner is $A,B$ or $C$, respectively, if the sum of the chosen numbers leaves a remainder of $0, 1$, or $2$ when divided by $3$. For what values of $k$ is this game a fair one? (A game is fair if the three outcomes are equally probable.)

[5] If four fair six-sided dice are rolled, what is the probability that the lowest number appearing on any die is exactly $3$?

A jar contains 4 blue marbles, 3 green marbles, and 5 red marbles. If Helen reaches in the jar and selects a marble at random, then the probability that she selects a red marble can be expressed as $\tfrac{m}{n}$, where $m$ and $n$ are relatively prime positive integers. Find $m+n$.

$6$ people each have a hat. If they shuffle their hats and redistribute them, what is the probability that exactly one person gets their own hat back?

Joe generates 4 independent random numbers in $(0,1)$ according to the uniform distribution. He shows one the numbers to Bill, who has to guess whether the number shown is one of the extremal numbers (that is, the smallest or the greatest) of the four numbers or not. Can Joe have a deterministic strategy such that no matter what Bill's method is, the probability of the right guess of Bill is at most $\frac12$?

Suppose you have $27$ identical unit cubes colored such that $3$ faces adjacent to a vertex are red and the other $3$ are colored blue. Suppose further that you assemble these $27$ cubes randomly into a larger cube with $3$ cubes to an edge (in particular, the orientation of each cube is random). The probability that the entire cube is one solid color can be written as $\frac{1}{2^n}$ for some positive integer $n$. Find $n$.

The Judgment of the Council of Sages proceeds as follows: the king arranges the sages in a line and places either a white hat, black hat or a red hat on each sage's head. Each sage can see the color of the hats of the sages in front of him, but not of his own hat or of the hats of the sages behind him. Then one by one (in an order of their choosing), each sage guesses a color. Afterward, the king executes those sages who did not correctly guess the color of their own hat. The day before, the Council meets and decides to minimize the number of executions. What is the smallest number of sages guaranteed to survive in this case? [i]K. Knop[/i] P.S. Of course, the sages hear the previous guesses. See also [url]http://www.artofproblemsolving.com/Forum/viewtopic.php?f=42&t=530552[/url]

A gambler has $\$25$ and each turn, if the gambler has a positive amount of money, a fair coin is flipped. If it is heads, the gambler gains a dollar and if it is tails, the gambler loses a dollar. But, if the gambler has no money, he will automatically be given a dollar (which counts as a turn). What is the expected number of turns for the gambler to double his money?

On each face of two dice some positive integer is written. The two dice are thrown and the numbers on the top face are added. Determine whether one can select the integers on the faces so that the possible sums are $2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13$, all equally likely?

Johann has $64$ fair coins. He flips all the coins. Any coin that lands on tails is tossed again. Coins that land on tails on the second toss are tossed a third time. What is the expected number of coins that are now heads? $\textbf{(A) } 32 \qquad\textbf{(B) } 40 \qquad\textbf{(C) } 48 \qquad\textbf{(D) } 56 \qquad\textbf{(E) } 64 $

Three numbers are selected at random from the interval $[0,1]$. What is the probability that they form the lengths of the sides of a triangle?