In the Archery with an especial gun, the probability of goal is $90 \%.$ If we continue our work until we goal. [b]i)[/b] What is the probability which exactly $3$ balls consumed. [b]ii)[/b] What is the probability which at least $3$ balls consumed.

A circle is randomly chosen in a circle of radius $1$ in the sense that a point is randomly chosen for its center, then a radius is chosen at random so that the new circle is contained in the original circle. What is the probability that the new circle contains the center of the original circle?

Objects $A$ and $B$ move simultaneously in the coordinate plane via a sequence of steps, each of length one. Object $A$ starts at $(0,0)$ and each of its steps is either right or up, both equally likely. Object $B$ starts at $(5,7)$ and each of its steps is either left or down, both equally likely. Which of the following is closest to the probability that the objects meet? $ \textbf{(A)}\ 0.10 \qquad \textbf{(B)}\ 0.15 \qquad \textbf{(C)}\ 0.20 \qquad \textbf{(D)}\ 0.25 \qquad \textbf{(E)}\ 0.30$

A fair die is rolled six times. The probability of rolling at least a five at least five times is $ \textbf{(A)}\ \frac{13}{729} \qquad\textbf{(B)}\ \frac{12}{729} \qquad\textbf{(C)}\ \frac{2}{729} \qquad\textbf{(D)}\ \frac{3}{729} \qquad\textbf{(E)}\ \text{none of these} $

Let $f(x)$ be a polynomial with real coefficients such that $f(0) = 1,$ $f(2)+f(3)=125,$ and for all $x$, $f(x)f(2x^{2})=f(2x^{3}+x).$ Find $f(5).$

Jake, Jonathan, and Joe are playing a dice game involving polyhedron dice. The dice are as follows: 4 sides, 6 sides, 12 sides, and 20 sides. An n-sided dice has the numbers 1 through n labeled on the sides. Jake starts by selecting a 4-sided die and a 20-sided die. The amount of points that a player gets is the sum of the numbers on the rolled dice. Jonathan then selects a 12-sided die and an 20-sided die. Finally, Joe selects a 20-sided die and a 6-sided die. [list=a] [*]What is the probability that Joe places last? [*]What is the probability that Joe places second? [*]What is the probability that Joe places first? [*]What is the probability that there is a three-way tie? [/list] [i]Proposed by beanielove2[/i]

A square is drawn in the Cartesian coordinate plane with vertices at $(2,2)$, $(-2,2)$, $(-2,-2)$, and $(2,-2)$. A particle starts at $(0,0)$. Every second it moves with equal probability to one of the eight lattice points (points with integer coordinates) closest to its current position, independently of its previous moves. In other words, the probability is $\frac{1}{8}$ that the particle will move from $(x,y)$ to each of $(x,y+1)$, $(x+1,y+1)$, $(x+1,y)$, $(x+1,y-1)$, $(x,y-1)$, $(x-1,y-1)$, $(x-1,y)$, $(x-1,y+1)$. The particle will eventually hit the square for the first time, either at one of the $4$ corners of the square or one of the $12$ lattice points in the interior of one of the sides of the square. The probability that it will hit at a corner rather than at an interior point of a side is $\frac{m}{n}$, where $m$ and $n$ are relatively prime positive integers. What is $m+n$? $\textbf{(A)}\ 4\qquad\textbf{(B)}\ 5\qquad\textbf{(C)}\ 7\qquad\textbf{(D)}\ 15\qquad\textbf{(E)}\ 39$

Each of $2023$ balls is placed in on of $3$ bins. Which of the following is closest to the probability that each of the bins will contain an odd number of balls? $\textbf{(A) } \frac{2}{3} \qquad \textbf{(B) } \frac{3}{10} \qquad \textbf{(C) } \frac{1}{2} \qquad \textbf{(D) } \frac{1}{3} \qquad \textbf{(E) } \frac{1}{4}$

Ankit, Box, and Clark are taking the tiebreakers for the geometry round, consisting of three problems. Problem $k$ takes each $k$ minutes to solve. If for any given problem there is a $\frac13$ chance for each contestant to solve that problem first, what is the probability that Ankit solves a problem first?

Contessa is taking a random lattice walk in the plane, starting at $(1,1)$. (In a random lattice walk, one moves up, down, left, or right $1$ unit with equal probability at each step.) If she lands on a point of the form $(6m,6n)$ for $m,n \in \mathbb{Z}$, she ascends to heaven, but if she lands on a point of the form $(6m+3,6n+3)$ for $m,n \in \mathbb{Z}$, she descends to hell. What is the probability she ascends to heaven?

Thee tiles are marked $ X$ and two other tiles are marked $ O$. The five tiles are randomly arranged in a row. What is the probability that the arrangement reads $ XOXOX$? $ \textbf{(A)}\ \frac{1}{12}\qquad \textbf{(B)}\ \frac{1}{10}\qquad \textbf{(C)}\ \frac{1}{6}\qquad \textbf{(D)}\ \frac{1}{4}\qquad \textbf{(E)}\ \frac{1}{3}$

1. What is the probability that a randomly chosen word of this sentence has exactly four letters?

Given $3n$ cards, each of them will be written with a number from the following sequence: $$2, 3, ..., n, n + 1, n + 3, n + 4, ..., 2n + 1, 2n + 2, 2n + 4, ..., 3n + 3$$ with each number used exactly once. Then every card is arranged from left to right in random order. Determine the probability such that for every $i$ with $1\le i \le 3n$, the number written on the $i$-th card, counted from the left, is greater than or equal to $i$.

Rachel and Robert run on a circular track. Rachel runs counterclockwise and completes a lap every $ 90$ seconds, and Robert runs clockwise and completes a lap every $ 80$ seconds. Both start from the start line at the same time. At some random time between $ 10$ minutes and $ 11$ minutes after they begin to run, a photographer standing inside the track takes a picture that shows one-fourth of the track, centered on the starting line. What is the probability that both Rachel and Robert are in the picture? $ \textbf{(A)}\ \frac{1}{16}\qquad \textbf{(B)}\ \frac18\qquad \textbf{(C)}\ \frac{3}{16} \qquad \textbf{(D)}\ \frac14\qquad \textbf{(E)}\ \frac{5}{16}$

Integers $a$ and $b$ are randomly chosen without replacement from the set of integers with absolute value not exceeding $10$. What is the probability that the polynomial $x^3 + ax^2 + bx + 6$ has $3$ distinct integer roots? $\textbf{(A)} \frac{1}{240} \qquad \textbf{(B)} \frac{1}{221} \qquad \textbf{(C)} \frac{1}{105} \qquad \textbf{(D)} \frac{1}{84} \qquad \textbf{(E)} \frac{1}{63}$.

The figure shows a network of roads bounding $12$ blocks. Person $P$ goes from $A$ to $B,$ and person $Q$ goes from $B$ to $A,$ each going by a shortest path (along roads). The persons start simultaneously and go at the same constant speed. At each point with two possible directions to take, both have the same probability. Find the probability that the persons meet. [asy] import graph; size(150); real lsf = 0.5; pen dp = linewidth(0.7) + fontsize(10); defaultpen(dp); pen ds = black; draw((0,3)--(4,3),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((4,3)--(4,0),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((4,0)--(0,0),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((0,0)--(0,3),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((1,3)--(1,0),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((2,3)--(2,0),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((3,3)--(3,0),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((0,1)--(4,1),linewidth(1.2pt)); draw((4,2)--(0,2),linewidth(1.2pt)); dot((0,0),ds); label("$A$", (-0.3,-0.36),NE*lsf); dot((4,3),ds); label("$B$", (4.16,3.1),NE*lsf); clip((-4.3,-10.94)--(-4.3,6.3)--(16.18,6.3)--(16.18,-10.94)--cycle); [/asy]

Let $S$ be a randomly selected four-element subset of $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\}$. Let $m$ and $n$ be relatively prime positive integers so that the expected value of the maximum element in $S$ is $\dfrac{m}{n}$. Find $m + n$.

Square $ABCD$ has side length $4$. Points $E$ and $F$ are the midpoints of sides $AB$ and $CD$, respectively. Eight $1$ by $2$ rectangles are placed inside the square so that no two of the eight rectangles overlap (see diagram). If the arrangement of eight rectangles is chosen randomly, then there are relatively prime positive integers $m$ and $n$ so that $\tfrac{m}{n}$ is the probability that none of the rectangles crosses the line segment $EF$ (as in the arrangement on the right). Find $m + n$. [asy] size(200); defaultpen(linewidth(0.8)+fontsize(10pt)); real r = 7; path square=origin--(4,0)--(4,4)--(0,4)--cycle; draw(square^^shift((r,0))*square,linewidth(1)); draw((1,4)--(1,0)^^(3,4)--(3,0)^^(0,2)--(1,2)^^(1,3)--(3,3)^^(1,1)--(3,1)^^(2,3)--(2,1)^^(3,2)--(4,2)); draw(shift((r,0))*((2,4)--(2,0)^^(0,2)--(4,2)^^(0,1)--(4,1)^^(0,3)--(2,3)^^(3,4)--(3,2))); label("A",(4,4),NE); label("A",(4+r,4),NE); label("B",(0,4),NW); label("B",(r,4),NW); label("C",(0,0),SW); label("C",(r,0),SW); label("D",(4,0),SE); label("D",(4+r,0),SE); label("E",(2,4),N); label("E",(2+r,4),N); label("F",(2,0),S); label("F",(2+r,0),S); [/asy]

Let $n$ be a positive integer, and let Pushover be a game played by two players, standing squarely facing each other, pushing each other, where the first person to lose balance loses. At the HMPT, $2^{n+1}$ competitors, numbered $1$ through $2^{n+1}$ clockwise, stand in a circle. They are equals in Pushover: whenever two of them face off, each has a $50\%$ probability of victory. The tournament unfolds in $n+1$ rounds. In each rounjd, the referee randomly chooses one of the surviving players, and the players pair off going clockwise, starting from the chosen one. Each pair faces off in Pushover, and the losers leave the circle. What is the probability that players $1$ and $2^n$ face each other in the last round? Express your answer in terms of $n$.

$N$ unfair coins (with heads and tails on the sides) are thrown, with the $k^{th}$ coin has got a chance of $\frac{1}{2k + 1}$ to land on tails.How high is the probability that an odd number of coins will show tails?

Three fair six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the values shown on two of the dice sum to the value shown on the remaining die? $ \textbf{(A)}\ \dfrac16\qquad\textbf{(B)}\ \dfrac{13}{72}\qquad\textbf{(C)}\ \dfrac7{36}\qquad\textbf{(D)}\ \dfrac5{24}\qquad\textbf{(E)}\ \dfrac29 $

$20$ players are playing in a Super Mario Smash Bros. Melee tournament. They are ranked $1-20$, and player $n$ will always beat player $m$ if $n<m$. Out of all possible tournaments where each player plays $18$ distinct other players exactly once, one is chosen uniformly at random. Find the expected number of pairs of players that win the same number of games.

For which integers between $2000$ and $2010$ (including) is the probability that a random divisor is smaller or equal $45$ the largest?

Bob the bomb-defuser has stumbled upon an active bomb. He opens it up, and finds the red and green wires conveniently located for him to cut. Being a seasoned member of the bomb-squad, Bob quickly determines that it is the green wire that he should cut, and puts his wirecutters on the green wire. But just before he starts to cut, the bomb starts to count down, ticking every second. Each time the bomb ticks, starting at time $t=15$ seconds, Bob panics and has a certain chance to move his wirecutters to the other wire. However, he is a rational man even when panicking, and has a $\frac{1}{2t^2}$ chance of switching wires at time t, regardless of which wire he is about to cut. When the bomb ticks at $t=1$, Bob cuts whatever wire his wirecutters are on, without switching wires. What is the probability that Bob cuts the green wire?

Select a random real number $m$ from the interval $(\frac{1}{6}, 1)$. A track is in the shape of an equilateral triangle of side length $50$ feet. Ch, Hm, and Mc are all initially standing at one of the vertices of the track. At the time $t = 0$, the three people simultaneously begin walking around the track in clockwise direction. Ch, Hm, and Mc walk at constant rates of $2, 3$, and $4$ feet per second, respectively. Let $T$ be the set of all positive real numbers $t_0$ satisfying the following criterion: [i]If we choose a random number $t_1$ from the interval $[0, t_0]$, the probability that the three people are on the same side of the track at the time $t = t_1$ is precisely $m$.[/i] The probability that $|T| = 17$ (i.e., $T$ has precisely $17$ elements) equals $\frac{p}{q}$, where $p$ and $q$ are relatively prime positive integers. Find $p+q$.